Mother Nature skips October, hello November
By Scott Sistek
11:55 p.m. weather news update: Wind gusts to 45 mph knocked out power to about 3,000 people in the Ocean Shores area when a tree fell over onto power lines. They were expected to regain power around 5 a.m.
Previous forecast: SEATTLE -- September was gorgeous. October? More like November. And I haven't even had any Halloween candy yet... Our second storm of the fall season was moving through the area Monday night. This one probably won't be packing quite the punch for the lowlands as Saturday's storm, but it could bring our first significant mountain snowfall of the season above 4,000 feet. Although let's make this clear from the get-go -- we are not expecting any snow at Snoqualmie Pass, which is too low of elevation for this storm to get snow. Rain? Yes. Snow? More like Stevens Pass. That said, a "Winter Weather Advisory" is in effect Tuesday between 6 a.m. and 6 p.m. for the north and central Cascades, as well as the Olympic Mountains. In English, that means there might be some snow and wind, but not enough to warrant a winter storm warning. First up though, let's chat about the wind, since that would have affected more people. So far as of late Monday night, wind gusts along the coast and northern interior were gusting between 35 and 45 mph. A gust to 45 mph knocked over a tree in Ocean Shores, leaving some 3,000 residents in the dark. They were expected to stay without power until 5 a.m. Tuesday. Point Wilson lighthouse near Port Townsend recorded a gust of 48 mph. We have another strong storm that is barreling in off the Pacific Ocean, making landfall overnight Monday night into Tuesday morning. The actual strength of the storm is stronger than Saturday's, but this one is heading ashore much farther north -- expected to make landfall on the northern tip of Vancouver Island or even on the mainland B.C. shores north of Vancouver Island overnight tonight into early Tuesday morning. This is far enough away that greatest difference in pressure -- what really drive the strong winds -- will be over Vancouver Island and Southern British Columbia mainland. It will be a very windy night in Port Hardy -- wind warnings are in effect there for gusts as high as 60 mph (100 km/h). But down here in Washington, the winds will be much less. The coast will get the strongest winds -- gusting perhaps as high as 40-45 mph around, say, 10 p.m. Monday to 5-6 a.m. Tuesday. The Northwest Interior (Everett north to the Canadian border and west to Port Townsend) could also see gusts maybe as high as 35-45 mph. A WIND ADVISORY is in effect here from 2-9 a.m. Tuesday morning. The area along the Strait of Juan de Fuca, and the western shores of Whidbey Island were also susceptible to a strong west wind after the front passes early Tuesday morning of 45-55 mph in gusts. The Wind Advisory is in effect there as well. (The coast doesn't get a Wind Advisory since they frequently get gusts in this range through the fall and winter, so it doesn't warrant advisories, even though the wind speed forecasts are similar.) The Puget Sound area should be in the 25-35 mph gust range with a few gusts to near 40, I'd imagine. That would be for a few hours inside the 1-6 a.m. timeframe Tuesday. So again, breezy, but not as gusty as Saturday, and really not that big of a deal. No warnings issued here south of Snohomish County. All areas will see rain at times through the night Monday and into Tuesday. Mountain Snow This is getting all the headlines because it's the first lower-elevation mountain snow of the season, but shouldn't affect travel too much. Snow levels will begin around 8,000 feet Monday evening, but will fall to around 4,000 feet overnight and into Tuesday morning as chilly air moves in behind the cold front. The brunt of the moisture will be in the North Cascades where they could see as much as 2-6 inches of snow above 4,000 feet between late Monday night and Tuesday afternoon. Stevens Pass about right at 4,000 feet, so it's on the lower end of this scale -- perhaps 1-3" up there. Farther north of that pass, some isolated spots along the west facing slopes above 4,000 feet could see as much as 8", and the Mount Baker ski resort should get a really good dose of snow. In addition, as we mentioned earlier, it'll be quite gusty up there, so camping/hiking, driving up around there could be difficult with very low visibilities. For the Central Cascades, we could also see a few inches of snow above 4,000 feet late Monday night through Tuesday afternoon, but Snoqualmie Pass, at about 3,200 feet, is still well below the snow level and will just be rainy and windy. The snow will abate late Tuesday evening. Long range forecasts show another cool system coming in on Thursday that could bring a few more light snow showers to the higher elevation, but beyond that, it looks like we might dry out for a while with no more storms on the horizon. So, don't put away that Halloween candy just yet... |
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