Story Published:
Sep 26, 2004 at 1:23 PM PST
Story Updated:
Aug 31, 2006 at 12:34 AM PST
SEATTLE - Small earthquakes at the rate of one or two a
minute on Monday had seismologists keeping a close watch on Mount
St. Helens.
Scientists were not sure what was going on beneath the southwest
Washington volcano and planned a full day of investigations.
Seth Moran, a seismologist with the U.S. Geological Survey at
the Volcano Observatory in Vancouver, said that while a major blast
was unlikely, there was potential for explosions within the crater
that could throw rocks as far as the rim.
The earthquake swarms began Thursday and on Sunday the
Geological Survey issued a notice of volcanic unrest, saying there
was "an increased likelihood of a hazardous event."
U.S. Forest Service officials closed hiking trails above the
treeline at 4,800 feet on the mountain. The visitor's center and
most other trails at the Mount St. Helens National Monument
remained open, but officials did not want climbers exposed to a
sudden gas or steam explosion while peering over the crater rim.
"Standing on the rim, from what geologists tell us, would not
be a good idea," said Peter Frenzen, monument scientist.
Scientists planned to fly over the 8,364-foot mountain on Monday
to test for carbon dioxide and sulfur gases, which could indicate
whether magma is moving beneath the crater. They also planned to
set up additional seismic sensors and global positioning devices to
measure activity.
The May 18, 1980, eruption killed 57 people, leveled hundreds of
square miles of forests and dumped volcanic ash across the
Northwest.
In October 1980, a lava dome began building in the crater,
eventually growing to 925 feet from the crater floor. The last
dome-building eruption was in October 1986, but steam explosions
have periodically rocked the dome.
Previous earthquake swarms three years ago did not result in any
activity on the surface.
"The key issue is a small explosion without warning. That would
be the major event that we're worried about right now," said
Willie Scott, a geologist with the USGS office in Vancouver.
The hundreds of tiny earthquakes that began Thursday morning
slowly declined through Saturday. But on Sunday, the swarms of
small quakes were punctuated by more than 10 quakes of magnitude
2.0 to 2.8, the most in a 24-hour period since the 1986
dome-building eruption, Scott said.
The swarms continued Monday. The quakes were too small to be
felt, even at the monument, said Tom Knappenberger, spokesman for
the Gifford Pinchot National Forest.
Similar swarms of quakes in 1998 and 2001 did not result in
eruptions.
The current quakes have occurred at depths less than one mile
below the lava dome within the mountain's crater. Some of the
earthquakes suggest the involvement of pressurized fluids, such as
water or steam, and perhaps magma.
In the event of an explosion, Scott said the concern would be
focused on the area within the crater and the upper flanks of the
volcano. It's possible that a five-mile area primarily north of the
volcano could receive flows of mud and rock debris.
"We haven't had a swarm of earthquakes at Mount St. Helens
since 2001," state seismologist Tony Qamar said. "Clearly
something new is happening."
Qamar said if an eruption did occur it would possibly involve
ash and steam, called phreatic eruptions.
"There's been no explosions, there's no outward sign that
anything is occurring. This is all based on the pattern of
earthquake activity that is occurring below the dome," said Scott.
Experts believe there is "an increased probability of
explosions from the lava dome if the level of current unrest
continues or escalates," USGS and the University of Washington
Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network in Seattle said in a joint
statement Sunday.
For More Information:
St. Helens Info -- www.pnsn.org