OLYMPIA - Election officials forecast a strong
turnout for Washington's off-year election Tuesday, boosted by hot
ballot measures and the surging popularity of voting by mail.
Across the state, campaigns were waging furious 11th-hour
get-out-the-vote efforts Monday, using mail, phone banks,
sign-waving, and radio and TV commercials.
"It all comes down to turnout - and where it's from," said
Brett Bader, a longtime political strategist who is advising the
campaign for Initiative 912, which would roll back the state's
recently enacted 9½-cent-a-gallon gas tax increase.
He had fingers crossed for a strong Eastern Washington vote,
where a last-minute radio ad was denouncing "Gregoire's tax
increase," a reference to the Democratic governor's strong support
for the $5.5 billion program to finance 274 highway and road
projects.
"A higher turnout in King County benefits us ... but I'm not
making any predictions at all," said Mark Funk, spokesman for the
I-912 opposition.
Gregoire herself gingerly weighed in for some last-minute
campaigning, saying that Sunday's rockslide on Interstate 90 near
Snoqualmie Pass is "yet another wakeup call that we need to get
going on vital safety projects that impact people and businesses
all across our state."
Secretary of State Sam Reed forecasts a 60 percent turnout,
higher than the past four off-year elections and eclipsing even the
years that voters approved repeal of the car-tab tax and voted on
gun control, gay-rights and deregulating marijuana.
The only recent year with a higher turnout, 1991, had a 67.9
percent participation. Voters that year decided abortion rights,
assisted suicide, property tax limits and term limits.
Although King County said Reed was too optimistic with his 63
percent prediction for the state's largest county, he was sticking
by his guns.
"Extensive advertising on television kept reminding people that
there was an election going on, and that's a big bump for these
off-year elections," Reed said in an interview Monday.
He cited a six-pack of ballot issues, assorted hot local races,
and, most significantly, the strong appeal of vote-by-mail.
Reed noted that 28 of the 39 counties have shifted entirely to
absentee voting, using a new state law that passed last spring.
Even in counties that haven't made the switch, such as populous
King, Snohomish and Pierce, voters signed up in droves for
permanent absentee ballots, he said.
When Oregon switched to vote-by-mail, participation jumped by 10
percentage points, Reed said. In Washington, 80 percent of this
year's participation could be via the mails, he said.
One downside: Reed said perhaps no more than 50 percent of the
ballots will be counted as of Tuesday night. The rest will be
absentee ballots that won't be tallied until Wednesday and later.
A look at the top action:
GAS TAX
I-912 provided voters a chance to rescind the
four-step gas-tax increase that lawmakers and Gregoire approved
earlier this year. The first 3 cents went into effect July 1, and
three more installments were approved in advance for the next three
years.
Proponents of the rollback said the measure was too rich,
particularly with the recent surge in gasoline prices, and that the
project list was too skewed to King County and unlikely to actually
fix traffic congestion.
I-912 foes, including the governor and business, labor and
environmental leaders, said the state needs to boldly address its
infrastructure needs, both for safety and for congestion relief.
They cited Katrina hurricane damage as a reminder of Washington
vulnerability to earthquake devastation.
MEDICAL MALPRACTICE
Doctors and lawyers offered dueling
initiatives, I-330 and I-336, to address malpractice problems. The
two sides waged a bitter, multimedia campaign, shattering spending
records with a combined $15 million war chest. That was more than
twice the amount spent in 1997 for and against the new Seahawks
stadium.
SMOKING BAN
Initiative 901 was designed to broaden
Washington's indoor smoking ban to include more public places, such
as restaurants, bars, taverns, and bowling alleys.
PERFORMANCE AUDITS
Tim Eyman's latest initiative drew little
organized opposition. I-900, expanding on state legislation that
passed earlier in the year, would authorize the state auditor to do
performance audits on state and local agencies and programs. Until
now, the auditor has been limited to studying an agency's legal and
financial compliance, not whether tax dollars are being spent
effectively.
MUNICIPAL JUDGES
A proposed constitutional amendment, SJR
8207, offered municipal judges a chance to seek a seat on the
Commission on Judicial Conduct, which disciplines errant judges.
Currently, appeals, superior and district judges each elect a
representative. The change proposed by the Legislature was to allow
municipal judges to compete with district judges for the seat
representing the "courts of limited jurisdiction."
MONORAIL
Seattle residents were voting a fifth time on whether
they want a monorail transit line.
LOCAL RACES
Many areas had city and county races, including
mayors for Seattle and Tacoma, city and county councils, school
boards, ports and fire districts. King County Executive Ron Sims
faced a stiff re-election challenge from Republican David Irons.