Story Published:
Dec 20, 2005 at 11:59 AM PST
Story Updated:
Aug 31, 2006 at 1:09 AM PST
SEATTLE - Microsoft Corp.'s failed effort to woo America
Online highlights the momentous challenge the software maker faces
trying to catch up to Google Inc. and Yahoo Inc., and is likely to
slow the company's efforts to get into the lucrative business of
selling online advertising.
But industry watchers say the lost bid also shows that
Microsoft, while eager as ever to best its competitors, saw the
perils of going to what it considers to be unreasonable lengths to
make a deal work.
"I think they've learned that you don't do a deal at any price
just to do a deal. You do a deal that makes sense for you," said
analyst Michael Gartenberg with Jupiter Research.
AOL parent Time Warner Inc. and Google were expected to
announce, as early as Tuesday, an extension and broadening of their
search and advertising partnership. One official familiar with Time
Warner's position in the talks said the five-year deal would
involve Google paying $1 billion for a 5 percent stake in AOL.
Microsoft wasn't interested in a cash investment in AOL,
officials familiar with both sides of the talks said. Microsoft had
tried to persuade AOL to set up a shared online advertising
business in which both companies held a stake, according to a
person who is familiar with Microsoft's side of the discussions.
The officials spoke on condition that they are not named because
the discussions were confidential and the deal hadn't been
formalized.
Microsoft declined to comment.
Still, the renewed partnership between two of Microsoft's online
competitors is certainly a blow to the Redmond software titan,
which was late to develop its own search engine technology and is
now trying to make headway in the hot market of selling online
advertising. A deal with AOL would have jumpstarted both efforts.
"It slows their progress. It doesn't eliminate their
progress," said Marianne Wolk, research analyst with Susquehanna
Financial Group.
The deal also would have been a coup if only because it would
have meant a loss for Google. The company is Microsoft's nemesis
because it is at the forefront of many Web-based efforts that could
eventually pose a massive threat to Microsoft's core businesses.
"It clearly would've given them bragging rights and it would
have done Google a lot of damage," said analyst Rob Enderle. "It
(would have been) a huge benefit to them to take Google down a
peg."
On the other hand, Enderle said the stakes were significantly
higher for Google to make a deal work.
AOL is Google's biggest customer, accounting for about $420
million, or about 10 percent, of Google's revenue during the first
nine months of this year, according to regulatory filings. Losing
the deal would have represented a blow to both the company's
revenue and its image as the search market leader.
Also, while online search technology is at the center of
Google's business, Microsoft's MSN online unit represents just a
portion of its business and the company still makes the bulk of its
money from its Windows and Office franchises.
"For Microsoft it was kind of a nice to have," Enderle said.
"For Google it was a must have."
Besides paying $1 billion, Google agreed to integrate AOL's
video clips in its fledgling Google Video service and highlight
AOL's properties among the search engine's keyword ads, also known
as sponsored links.
According to the official with knowledge of Time Warner's
position, AOL would get an undisclosed amount of credit to buy such
ads on Google's network. For the first time, Google would display
graphics as part of sponsored links - such as icons next to links
to new AOL concert footage.
AOL would be able to sell keyword ads and have them appear only
on AOL sites, instead of telling potential advertisers to buy from
Google directly. Google also agreed to have AOL sell display ads
Google offers on third-party sites.
In exchange, AOL will continue providing Google's search engine
to its subscribers.
For AOL, a deal with Microsoft would have been considerably
riskier, since Google's online advertising business is more firmly
established and Microsoft is the relative newcomer.
"Given that there was a fairly successful relationship already
established between AOL and Google, the old maxim of 'if it ain't
broke, don't fix it' certainly would be coming into play," said
David Garrity, director of research for Investec's U.S. operations.
Still, Garrity said the fact that Microsoft was unable to strike
a deal shows that the software giant, which recently announced a
massive push into Web-based software and services, still has work
to do if it wants to compete effectively with Google, Yahoo and
others on the Web.
In addition to its efforts to gain popularity as a search engine
provider and sell more Internet advertising, Microsoft also is in
the midst of launching a new set of Internet-based offerings for
things like checking e-mail and doing business tasks.
The moves come amid criticism that Microsoft, long the
industry's 800-pound gorilla, is losing traction against younger,
more nimble competitors. Microsoft recently announced a
reorganization that was aimed in part at addressing such
bureaucratic woes.
"I do think from a cultural standpoint that Microsoft is not
yet quite thinking in the way that they need to competitively,"
Garrity said.