SEATTLE - So far, this summer hasn't been too out-of-the-ordinary. June was drier and warmer than normal, and while July got off to a cool start, the recent heat wave has balanced the month out.
From here, the long range forecasts show a continued drier and warmer than normal summer through about September and early October, when then forecasts are for normal temperatures and rainfall for the balance of the fall and into winter.
As for El Nino versus La Nina, it seems like we're going to be in neutral conditions (as in, neither La Nina or El Nino) which would be similar to the past winter season. Neutral winters are typically highly variable, with some bouts with arctic air and some bouts with warm, tropical rains.