When Good Forecasting Computer Models Go Bad

Tools

By By Steve Pool

SEATTLE - The basis of forecasting models are created from taking a current picture of the atmosphere. But we can only take weather observations at certain locations around the globe, so we have to average in the areas not observed.

That, and even the most complex mathematical modeling equations we've developed can't account for all of the subtleties of Mother Nature. And once a model misses one thing, that error will become magnified as the forecast extrapolates out further in time. Add the fact that the oceans are nearly devoid of observation points, and you make it easy for mistakes to occur from averaging over large distances.

Your Photos

YouNews Rainier Sunset Monday Evening Rainier Sunset Monday Evening
After 4 days of smoke filled sky the air finally cleared enough to see Mt. Rainier and a spectacular sunset. Taken
with a Nikon D3000 and 50-200mm telephoto lens.
YouNews Out Of Tragedy Comes Beauty! Out Of Tragedy Comes Beauty!
These are a couple Sunset photos taken from my backyard in Kent, WA. on August 23, 2015.