New long range forecast maps: Still chugging along for warmer/drier winter

El Nino may be struggling to keep a foothold in the Pacific Ocean, but the long range forecasts from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center are still sticking with their consistent theme of increased odds of a warmer and drier winter.

So far, the maps have been relatively accurate. At least in Seattle we are running counter to November's forecast from last month that was saying warmer than normal -- with the chilly nights of late we're trending about a degree cooler than normal, although really that cold pattern went away about five days ago and chilly air has been trapped at the surface with the inversion -- the atmosphere just above ground level has been fairly warm.

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