2013 to be home of the 'Comet of the Century'?

Astronomers are crossing their fingers that recently-discovered comet could put on a celestial show of the ages later this year.
If all goes right, Comet ISON could be so bright, it would rival a full moon at night and could even be visible during daylight.
But that is a big "if".
The comet was discovered in September by Russian astronomers Vitali Nevski and Artyom Novichonok, according to NASA. They gave the comet the acronymed-name of their night-sky survey program, the International Scientific Optical Network.
Right now, the comet is near Jupiter but the fact that it is visible to astronomers that far away indicates it's a rather large comet, and it's trajectory indicates when its orbit reaches the sun this autumn, it will graze the sun's outer edges, giving it an extremely bright glow.
Those two factors are what are giving astronomers great hope it will put on a dazzling display as the comet begins its return trip back into outer space.
Even better -- it's on a safe course that will miss Earth, but will pass essentially over Earth's head, meaning it will be above the horizon all night long in the northern hemisphere, NASA said.
A somewhat reasonable comparison of what we could see might be to look at photos of Comet McNaught in 2007 -- which put on a good show in the Southern Hemisphere.
But comets are unpredictable as they are dazzling. Sometimes when comets graze the sun, they explode and break up -- as has happened with a few recent comets that showed some promise. Other times they're predicted brightness turns out to be...less than bright.
Think of it as the astronomical equivalent of a Seattle meteorologist looking at a long range forecast model noting a potential arctic outbreak and major snowstorm 5-7 days away. Looks great on paper, but many times, it doesn't pan out as planned.
And those who have been around for a while might remember 40 years ago was a similar comet tagged the "Comet of the Century" in Kohoutek that had been trumpeted with great fanfare, only to fizzle and was barely visible, if at all.
"The actual apparition was such a let-down that Johnny Carson made jokes about it on the Tonight Show," said Don Yeomans with the NASA Near-Earth Object Program. "It fizzled. Comets are notoriously unpredictable."
But at this point, ISON seems to have the size and trajectory that astronomers are at least giving good odds it'll survive its sun encounter.
If all goes according to plan, the comet will begin to be visible in late October, peaking around November 28 when it makes its closest approach to the sun. The comet would remain spectacularly visible through December and into early January 2014.
Of course, here in the Northwest, that is the worst possible time for a comet to make a visit. Had ISON been a year earlier, there was only 1 clear night reported in all of last November and December around Seattle (although 13 days had some partial clearing). Maybe we'll get lucky and sneak in a few clear days this next late autumn. Or just head over the other side of the Cascades. It just might be worth the trip if it all pans out.
Here is more information from NASA: You can also get more updates by following @ISONUpdates on Twitter.
Depends on where u live. they are never right. they are always 5 degrees to 10 off where i am
@phoque122This year's comets won't be close enough to Earth for your viewing location to affect which constellations they appear in front of, so the same star map showing a comet's path should work for everyone.
Your location is important for knowing where (and when) to look for closer objects, like the ISS and other satellites, or near-miss asteroids such as 2012 DA14. This website shows you customized viewing information for those objects if you give it your location: http://www.heavens-above.com
"Think of it as the astronomical equivalent of a Seattle meteorologist looking at a long range forecast model noting a potential arctic outbreak and major snowstorm 5-7 days away." Â A better example would be a midweek prediction for sunshine and 50 degrees for the weekend, only to have thick, dark fog and temps barely breaking 40. Â Sound familiar? Â This was last weekend. Â Lets hope for a freak clearstorm next autumn.Â
We can only hope for a clear night to view it....that time of year, asking for a clear night might be asking a bit much. But we can still hope!
I just hope we have some clearing when it's at its best viewing times. Astronomy here in the NW has been terrible the last few years and just seems to be getting worse. Â The climate has definitely been changing over the last 5 years or so. Â Clear nights are extremely rare now. :-(
- A frustrated backyard astronomer
Always neat to see stuff like this. Breaks up the monotony.
Scott,
Â
Don't forget about Hale-Bopp in 1997. I remember it a lot better than Haley's in 1986.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comet_Hale-Bopp
Â
Finder chart for comet C/2011 L4 (PANSTARRS) : http://panstarrs-ison.blogspot.com/2013/01/finder-chart-for-comet-c2011-l4.html
Oh, man -- I hope so!
Â
We'll also get a chance to see two lesser naked-eye comets before ISON if the weather cooperates:
Â
Comet PANSTARRS will be visible from the northern hemisphere in early March.
http://www.aerith.net/comet/catalog/2011L4/2011L4.html
Â
Comet Lemmon will be visible from the northern hemisphere in early April.
http://www.aerith.net/comet/catalog/2012F6/2012F6.html
Â
Both of them are predicted to get about as bright as the stars in the big dipper, so nothing like ISON's potential, but they still might turn out to be good warm-up acts!
Correction:
"Naked-eye" is probably an over-statement for those two other comets I mentioned, since when they reach their brightest we'll be looking for them in the glow of sunset.