What makes superstorm Sandy so unusual?

National and local forecasters on the East Coast are really in for a challenge this week not only forecasting what's expected to become a monster storm in Sandy but trying to communicate the storm's expected impacts because... there really is no playbook for a storm like this.
"Hurricane" Sandy -- I use quotation marks because it's set to become a different type of storm that won't technically be a hurricane -- is about to both undergo a transformation and follow a path that is exceedingly rare.
Add in the fact that it's aiming for the most populated corridor in the United States and you've got history brewing -- a stitched-together weather monster expected to unleash its power over several states, with predictions in some areas of 12 inches of rain, 2 feet of snow and sustained 40- to 50 mph winds.
But what makes this storm so different from others that have struck the northeast? That area is certainly no stranger to hurricanes nor the infamous "Nor'Easters". But this storm is not only set to combine both kinds of storm into one, but potentially be stronger than either kind that has hit the area before.
Here are some characteristics that make the storm quite unique:
1) The path
Atlantic hurricanes are common in October, but typically what happens is the storms move north up the southeastern coastline, then follow a warm water current that curves to the east, roughly following the curve of North Carolina's southern coastline, and sends it out to sea.
To get the occasional New England hurricanes, you'll have other weather factors in play that prevent the hurricane from turning east and instead send it into North Carolina's coast. The storm then keeps churning north where it might reenter the Atlantic around eastern Virginia, then keep pushing north until it makes landfall somewhere on the New England coast.
But by then, the hurricane has A) been weakened a bit from going over land and B) entered the cooler waters off the Mid-Atlantic and New England coast.
This is roughly what happened with Hurricane Irene, which made landfall in North Carolina's Outer Banks, then went into the New York metro area as a tropical storm. Still a major storm -- especially for beach waves and rainfall. But winds were tropical storm strength.
Nor'Easters typically move up from the Gulf of Mexico and southeastern U.S. where it merges with an inbound arctic system from the northwest to get stronger and can bring gusty northeast winds to the New England coast and heavy snow inland.
This storm is taking a strong Nor'easter type set up, and infusing Hurricane Sandy into the mix.
But in addition to the volatile mix of ingredients, the path of the storm is extremely unusual. Sandy is expected to take the "North Carolina curve" a bit and head to the northeast, dodging North Carolina and not getting the weakening effects from landfall.
But then Sandy is going to run into a big ridge of high pressure to it's east - actually it's a similar "Rex Block" pattern that we had here in late September/early October that blocked all the incoming storms and continued our dry, sunny streak.
Then, as I wrote on Friday, an upper level trough that was here Friday will eventually move east and mix with Sandy to pull the storm back to the west -- very rare! -- and into the oncoming big arctic storm dropping out of Canada.
2) The Storm's Makeup
You've probably heard it called "Frankenstorm" in its early days (now everyone is sticking with Sandy for continuity sake, considering the seriousness and need to have everyone be on the same page) but the moniker was partially due to the calendar (near Halloween) but also because this storm is expected to become a hybrid of other storms.
Sandy is not going to be a traditional hurricane making landfall, but is going to undergo a transformation from a hurricane/tropical type storm to what's called an Extra-Tropical storm (extra in the "exclusion" sense, not "Now with even more tropical!")
The difference is the source of the storm's energy. Hurricanes/tropical storms get their energy from the heat of warm ocean waters. Extra-tropical storms get it from battle between warm and cold air masses (Northwest storms are similar "ET" storms.) Sandy is going to transform from getting its energy from the Atlantic Ocean waters to tapping into the intense arctic air moving into New England from Canada and the Midwest. But in the interim, it's going to draw power from both sources, making it rapidly intensify.
(Incidentally, our great Columbus Day Storm of 1962 also underwent a similar transition from Typhoon Freda to an ET storm)
It also means Sandy won't behave like a typical hurricane. There, you expect the greatest winds to be right around the eye wall, diminishing as you get further away. This storm instead will have an incredible widespread difference in pressure spread out over hundreds of miles, creating a huge cone of wind around the storm. Unlike hurricanes, it won't matter if you suffer a direct hit -- the winds 30 miles form the storm center could be on par or even less than winds 100 miles away. Models also indicate the wind field will stretch hundreds of miles inland -- not just be relegated to the coastal areas (although they will likely have the strongest winds.)
It will also feature the immense storm surge of a strong hurricane on the coast and potential for heavy snows inland around the Appalachian Mountains.
"We may have written the first hurricane forecast article for weather.com that includes a heavy snow outlook map," Jon Erdman, senior meteorologist for The Weather Channel, wrote on weather.com
Louis Uccellini, the environmental prediction chief of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration meteorologists, estimates 60 million people will feel the storm's wrath somehow: "This storm as it grows and moves back to the coast on Monday and Tuesday, the circulation of this storm will extend all the way from the Midwest, the Ohio Valley, toward the Carolinas up into New England and southern Canada. It's really going to be an expansive storm system."
The transition from hurricane to ET storm is also creating headaches for those crafting warnings for the storm. The National Hurricane Center said in their 5pm EDT advisory Saturday that it was not going to issue tropical storm/hurricane warnings for the northeast and mid-Atlantic as Sandy transforms to a non-tropical storm. Instead, they will let each of the local offices of the National Weather Service issue High Wind Watch/Warnings instead.
That decision has already led to some disagreement within the weather forecasting community:
I completely disagree with NHC not putting up Hurricane warnings for the northeast.#sandy
— Jim Cantore (@JimCantore) October 27, 2012
Just another illustration on the communication challenges of this storm.
3) The Storm's duration
With the blocking pattern to the east, Sandy will not just blow through in several hours like most hurricanes do, but will meander around the northeast for possibly 2-3 days. It'll be gradually weakening, but continue to pour rain, heavy winds, and even heavy snow to some areas as it does so.
How does it compare to a Pacific Northwest windstorm?
NOAA forecaster Jim Cisco and others have called this storm unprecedented. Uccellini, who has written histories about winter storms, said the closest analogs are the 1991 Perfect Storm that struck northern New England and a November 1950 storm. But this is likely to be stronger and bigger than the Perfect Storm; it will strike farther south, and affect far more people.
In fact, the location among those with the highest odds for gale-force winds in the country's most populous place: New York City. New York has nearly a 2-in-3 chance of gale force winds by Tuesday afternoon.
I thought I'd try to show some comparisons to the last great Pacific Northwest windstorm: The Hanukah Eve storm of Dec. 14-15, 2006. Although I must caution this is a bit apples-to-oranges, but it's just to give some perspective:
That storm had wind speeds in the Puget Sound interior that roughly ranged from 55-70 mph with similar speeds on the coast. Sea-Tac Airport set its all time highest recorded wind speed gust at 69 mph. More than 1 million people lost power. Strong winds lasted about 8-10 hours with peak gusts about 3-4 hours' worth.
Sandy has potential to have its peak winds last for much longer.
Let's talk pressure difference -- the true driver of winds around here. The greater the difference in pressure, the faster the winds will be. The Hanukah Eve storm set a record for greatest difference in pressure between Portland and Bellingham -- a benchmark for measuring Puget Sound wind storms -- at 23.2 milibars. That is a distance of roughly 250 miles.
Some forecast models indicate about a 20 milibar difference in pressure just over 120 miles with Sandy. Incredible.
Seattle received 1.57" of rain in the storm -- much of it coming in an intense squall ahead of the storm. A wide swath of the northeast is expected to have 4-8 inches of rain with some spots could get 10-12 inches.
Seattle also didn't have to deal with intense storm surge, several hours of pounding waves, or snow either.
Even some of our other windstorms have brought greater winds to the coast -- wind speeds of 70-90+ mph have peppered Northwest history. But here, the coast is rather barren and the small towns on the shores are certainly used to it. With Sandy, you're potentially bringing that kind of winds to Jersey Shore and the rest of the heavily populated coastal regions.
Truly a one-of-a-kind storm
You can see forecasters have a challenge to communicate just how dangerous the storm is turning in to, even if Sandy is "only" a category 1 hurricane or tropical storm in the days leading up to its landfall. The Sandy of today will not be the Sandy of Monday.
They also will have to emphasize this won't be "just another hurricane" or "just another Nor'Easter". A lot of long-time residents there may be thinking they've been through these type of storms before, but this one could truly be something unique to our generation.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
I consider "ET Storm" AKA Superstorm Sandy as a Category 6 Hurricane mainly for the discription above. Now lets review what classifies a Category 5 Hurricane. Wind Speeds for a Category 5 Hurricane are greater then 155 MHP. as far as damage Category 5 Hurricanes can severely weaken a buildings structure right down to its foundation or even destroy buildings. Residental areas can quite literaly "wiped from the face the earth" causing people to be evacuated from the area. Now based on what was described picture the damage of a Category 5 hurricane and imagne that kind of damage on a much larger scale. You have yourself a Category 6 Hurricane. I predict in the forseeable future the Category 6 will become an offical type of hurricane.
Oh God, makes the storm passes peacefully. your kindness, Oh God.
Scott, interesting writeup. But several points of clarification are needed here.
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The Columbus Day Storm of 1962 WAS a typhoon, and her name was Frieda. Check your spelling. Pacific Northwest forecasters have denied for years that we were hit by a typhoon ("because typhoons just don't come here!). Many of us who lived through it never doubted that it was a typhoon. Some of our local weather talent this year, the fiftieth year since the storm hit, finally had the courage to admit that, yes, the label is right.
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The Halloween Storm of 2012 IS a hurricane, and her name is Sandy.
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Hurricanes and typhoons originate in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans respectively. So long as they maintain the characteristics common to the type (origin in the tropics, sustained winds over 75 mph, eye with at least partial eye-wall, self-generating energy, and so on), they deserve the name we commonly reserve for "tropical" storms.
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The incredible similarity between the two storms cannot be lost on you. They drift north, until captured by the jet stream, and merge with more characteristic temperate zone weather patterns (our lows come out of the Gulf of Alaska, but Sandy will be merging with continental lows driven by both the jet stream and the polar air masses). Methinks the damage will be in the tens of billions.
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Andy Wappler, if you are reading this, get some of our spare Puget Sound Energy crews mustered and on their way to our neighbors on the Atlantic Seaboard. They'll be needed. @Jim Cantore, God speed at the Battery!
They totally did the right thing not putting up tropical storm and hurricane warnings with this storm. Â If they did, the Columbus Day Storm of 1962 in the NW would also have to be classified as an official hurricane. Â That storm produced winds up to 150 mph hour in Washington State. Â We shall see if this one can equal that.
I'm on Long Island right now in an area called Garden City, roughly 20 miles east of NYC. Everything is shutting down here. I work in a mall here and they shut it down and told everyone the mall will be close for sure Monday and that, if it continues, Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday too. I still have my place in Kirkland, WA, and am on a work assignment here, but the locals are saying they had a pretty rough go with Irene last year and everyone is starting to say this will be considerably worse >< I'm a fan of storms, and I fortunantely get paid for the time off because it's a storm-related closure. But while I'm in a safer part of NY, there are tons and tons of people being evacuated and all the local grocery stores are looking like something out of a zombie apocalypse movie: mostly barren and ravaged. On a funnier note, the hardest hit areas were chips and soda products. Made me wonder if a large population of Monday Night Football watchers sac'd the stores...
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Anyway, the winds are starting to pick up here. It's just a matter of hours now until it goes from gusty to gravely for some. At least the governor of NY is taking it seriously. All public transportation in the city area have been shut down and lower-lying cities and suburbs have mandatory evacuations.
I think people would take these things a little more seriously if the media didn't make up stupid silly names like "Frankenstorm" for them. It's a storm. Call it a storm. You may not sell more news papers or people may not read your article over another but this is the news not hollywood.
I've seen a lot of people downplaying the effects of this storm.
This is no idel threat to be taken lightly.
Great article ... but such scary and sad news to have to read.
Wake up - pay attention - take this one more than seriously - protect you and your loved ones.
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My thoughts are with all the people living on the East Coast. Here is hoping that all the predictions are wrong...
How's about naming it FrankenSandy? Â In all seriousness, my sister is in the DC area so I am watching this closely. Â They are far enough inland and away from rivers, etc. that I think the worst they'll have to deal with is downed trees and no power which is nothing they haven't dealt with before.
 @stamperzann Maybe they should come visit you for a week or so. I pray all is going to be OK for them.
 @MyIdeas That would have been nice but according to a few of my friends trying to change flight plans in that area, it's pretty much impossible.
Nice write up, Scott. Thanks! I am going to look for a satellite image of the storm heading across the US.
This sounds a lot like the 3 storm merging into one plot of "The Day After Tomorrow"...it's even got flooding in NYC...!
 @OrcasThunder Seems to be shaping up rather like the 1938 New England Hurricane - on steroids...
 @JLS1950 No kidding. At least it's not happening over the Thanksgiving weekend, when everyone is traveling...Bad enough to be stranded without power at home, being stranded in a airport terminal for 7 or 8 days is hell on steroids...
Excellent article, Scott - very interesting! Â Thank you - as always...
Sounds to me like an average storm in SE Alaska. 40-70 sustained with gust coming close to100mph. I spent a winter in Craig, AK and there were 3 storms every two weeks some were only 30-50. Example a twelve foot Avalon rigid hull with water from rain in it about 1,000 lbs picked up about 8 ft out of the water and set on the back deck. It cleared the rail. That gust shook the boat.
FRANKENSTORM!!! Â Oh I'm scared. Â
@Andrew Bush Don't be an arse, Andrew. This storm has the potential to affect millions and millions of people and cause billions in damage. I have friends on the East Coast who are scared for their lives, scared for the livelihoods, and there really isn't anywhere to hide because this storm is so wide spread. Show some respect.
 @Tattooed_Angel  Oh I'm Scared!!!!  The Storms Coming!!!!
 @Tattooed_Angel  @Andrew
ÂI was visiting family in Boston for Hurricane Irene in 2011 and that was only 60 mph gusts v. sustained winds. That 60mph gust caused a tree to fall on my mother's house. We're inland Boston and not on the coast. It was unprecedented at the time for a hurricane to do so much damage that far inland. I can't imagine what this slow moving combination of storms with 70mph sustained winds will do.Â
Scott:
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How would you say this compares to the second most powerful non-tropical storm to make landfall on the United States, the Blizzard of '78 (the strongest being the Columbus Day storm of '64).
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I realize the Feb 5 - 7 Blizzard of '78 was a pure 'noreaster, but it pummeled the New England states for more than two days, clocking winds from 50 to 90 MPH over a wide area, dumping as much as 4 feet of snow, and creating a monster storm surge due to the combination of wind direction, duration of storm, and astronomical high tides as the storm reached its peak, and brushed the New England coast.
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The coast was decimated with homes washed out to sea, seawalls destroyed, and ships torn from moorings. People literally froze to death in view of the skyline of Boston, as the snow piled up so fast, trapping cars in place on 128 (image that happening on I-405 in view of Bellevue).
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I know you're not as familiar with the history of east coast weather - but I do know that the '78 storm is the benchmark for all others in the New England states, if it is extra-tropical.
 @Howard BealeÂ
I have fond memories of the Blizzard of '78 (lived south of Boston then). It closed school for 2 weeks, which is unheard of there for snow. The snow was so high we jumped off the roof of our kitchen into the snow and made a game out of it. It was fun but oh man was it a mess to clean up.
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 @maggie112  Such the racist maggie
I'm in Queens waiting with nervous anticipation.
 @fabalis1 Ahhh! Forget about it... Ha!
Mother natures way of saying stay out of the White House Mitt old buddy boy or else!
Living in Maryland back in 1972 I saw the aftermath of Hurricane Agnes and it was bad--19 deaths in the state of Maryland alone. Thinking back on it I thought it was worse than a Category 1 but I was wrong.
Looks to be a Royal Flush, a real gully washer. It's like a slow tsunami.
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Is it odd that I'd rather be on the east coast to experience this storm in person instead of reading about it on the news?
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 @Landshark being from the East Coast and went through several hurricanes we always laughed at the people that fly in and ignore the police on evacuating, because they was the first ones calling for help.
 @Landshark Nope, I'm with you on that one!
I'm at Logan Int. right now. Having spent 3 weeks trapping around New England. Good day for me to leave! I worry for all the beautiful covered bridges I saw, not to mention the lovely white steppled churches. Not to mention a hurricane in 1954 did a real number on the Old North Church.
This article is clear as mud. What gets me is when experts talk in lingo they are used to but the audience is not privy to. Very poor reporting!
 @raven I thought it was pretty clear. Any time "lingo" was used, it was explained pretty well what was meant.
"But what makes this storm so different than"
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FROM!
Different FROM...
 @Glassman Thanks :) Fixed
 @ScottS  @Glassman Scott rocks, go man go.