Weather Blog

Surprised? 9th time in past 12 years it's rained on Memorial Day Weekend

Surprised? 9th time in past 12 years it's rained on Memorial Day Weekend

A long-running joke around here goes: "What do you call three straight days of rain in Seattle?" Answer: "A holiday weekend"

But whoever first penned that punch line must have been of the many getting dripped on at Folklife Festival because rain on a Seattle Memorial Day weekend is about as traditional as music and barbecues.

2013 marks the 9th time in the past 12 years that it has rained at some point on the four days of the festival (if we count in Fridays too since a lot of people take an extended holiday and the festival does begin on Friday afternoon.) Eight of those times have rain on at least two of the days, and this year marks the fifth time since 2002 to have rain on three of the four weekend days (Saturday was a trace so we were close to all four.)

But surely we would never get all four days wet, right? Well, it is Seattle, and sure enough, in 2010, it rained significantly on all four days.

Even the recent years when it didn't rain had some wild swings. In 2005, it was 89 on the Friday, but rapidly cooled to 76 for Saturday and 63 for Sunday as a monster marine push moved in. And last year, which I counted as one of the three recent dry years, even had two days with a trace of rain that don't officially count as a measurable rain day.

No, really we've had just one picture-perfect Memorial Day weekend since 2002 and that was in 2009 when each day had plenty of sunshine and highs of 70, 71, 71 and 69. It was enough for this writer to declare it the "Nicest Memorial Day of all time". Guess we're still paying for that one.

Now, I realize the forecasts we wrote last week for Memorial Day weekend were a bit more optimistic than what transpired. An upper level low that was forecast to fizzle on Friday and stay south instead did its best horror-flick villain act and managed to come back around for another round of showers around Western Washington. That gummed up Sunday morning.

Then, Monday's storm which was consistently pegged to move in well to our south decided to make a more direct approach and Monday's forecast for rain to stay south of Olympia was the only thing to go south instead. (Kudos to Seattleites though for maintaining city etiquette. Informal poll out the window here around Seattle center found out of 38 people walking around, only 7 had umbrellas.)

I'm sure more than a few people weren't happy with the result, but I found I could sneak into work in a way that absolutely no one would recognize me:



Past 12 Memorial Day Weekends:

Memorial Day Weekend Weather since 2002 (Courtesy: National Weather Service – Seattle/Tacoma)

High/low/rain Fri Sat Sun Mon
2002 (May 24-27) 68/45/0 67/51/.01 68/53/T 68/52/.09
2003 (May 23-26) 66/55/.0 63/50/.10 69/46/.02 78/50/0
2004 (May 28-31) 59/48/.71 60/48/T 64/52/T 61/49/0
2005 (May 27-30) 89/58/0 76/54/0 63/56/0 64/54/0
2006 (May 26-29) 61/48/.14 61/48/.15 58/50/.22 64/50/0
2007 (May 25-28) 75/50/0 67/51/0 57/47/.04   64/46/0
2008 (May 23-26) 59/51/.03 77/50/.04  66/53/.13 68/51/0
2009 (May 22-25) 70/49/0 71/47/0 71/47/0 69/47/0
2010 (May 28-31) 53/50/.45 54/45/.06 59/42/.11 65/52/.31
2011 (May 27-30) 58/46/.02 62/45/.01 59/50/0 61/49/T
2012 (May 25-28) 72/48/T 72/48/0 63/42/0 62/50/T
2013 (May 24-27) 62/48/.01 64/50/T 65/51/.06 62/52/.38

 

Intense thunderstorm upstages cruise ship entertainment

Intense thunderstorm upstages cruise ship entertainment
Lightning strikes off the distant port side of the Disney Fantasy as it sailed into the Gulf of Mexico on May 1, 2013.

It's not often entertainment on board a cruise ship can be upstaged but on this particular night, Mother Nature gave it a shot.

Make that, several shots...

I took this video as the Disney Fantasy sailed into the Gulf of Mexico on May 1 just hours after it left a very hot and muggy Cozumel, Mexico.

(How hot? I went back and checked when I got home and it was 86 degrees with a 73 degree dew point that evening. Or as this Seattleite said: About 3 degrees cooler than molten lava. Though I'm sure many of the Florida residents on the ship probably thought it was a bit chilly.)

Brrr! Seattle, Portland briefly tied for coldest major city in lower 48

Brrr! Seattle, Portland briefly tied for coldest major city in lower 48
Map shows temperatures across the mainland United States at 11 a.m. PDT on May 22, 2013.

Does it feel a bit like January out there today? Your skin does not deceive you.

A cold system from the Gulf of Alaska has settled into the Pacific Northwest, bringing not only a steady winter-like rain but has kept temperatures stuck in the 40s(!) through the late morning.

In fact, at 11 a.m., Seattle was stuck at 46 degrees -- about the average high for mid January. It's so cold in the Northwest that Seattle and Portland were tied as the coldest major cities in the lower 48 states -- and it wasn't even close! (Boise was at 50. Anchorage was also at 46. If we do lower our population threshold for "major city", Spokane checks in at 41.)

Portland would gradually take the trophy by itself as Seattle later warmed into the low 50s as Portland remained stuck in the mid 40s.

How tornado victims got 36 minutes of precious warning time

How tornado victims got 36 minutes of precious warning time
A tornado moves past homes in Moore, Okla. on Monday, May 20, 2013. (AP Photo/Alonzo Adams)

Thirty-six minutes.

That might not seem very long -- roughly about the time it takes to wade through your hourly drama if you blaze through commercials. But compared to a few decades ago, 36 minutes of time might have saved countless lives during the devastating tornado that struck Moore, Oklahoma on Monday.

Years ago, the residents of Moore would have likely had no idea the tornado was coming until the twister was sighted, giving people barely a few minutes' notice. But thanks to advancements in technology, tornadoes rarely sneak up on anyone anymore.

In fact, forecasters as early as Wednesday began sounding the alarm for a potential severe weather breakout on Sunday and Monday. And, on Friday, the forecasts became more specific. On Monday, a Tornado Watch, which indicates conditions are right for tornadic development, was issued at 1:10 p.m. for much of Oklahoma, including the greater Oklahoma City area.

"What does ''EF-4'' mean?' and other tornado questions answered

"What does ''EF-4'' mean?' and other tornado questions answered
This frame grab provided by KWTV shows a tornado in Oklahoma City Monday, May 20, 2013. Television footage shows flattened buildings and fires after a mile-wide tornado moved through the Oklahoma City area. (AP Photo/Courtesy KWTV)

With tornadoes in the news lately I figured it'd be a good time to post answers to some frequently asked questions about the powerful storms:

What does "EF-4" mean?

WIth the devastating tornado in Moore, Oklahoma, you'll be hearing a lot of about "EF" ratings -- that's from the Enhanced Fujita Scale that rates tornadoes on a scale of 0 to 5, 5 being the strongest.

The Moore tornado was given a preliminary rating of EF-4 ("Devastating") with estimated tornadic wind speeds of up to 200 mph, although many are thinking that rating could be increased to an EF-5 ("Incredible") once more damage assessment is done.

Sadly, it's not the first time Moore has had to deal with such a catastrophic storm. On May 3, 1999, Moore was struck by an EF-5 tornado which recorded the strongest wind speed ever registered near Earth's surface. this map provided by the National Weather Service in Norman, Oklahoma shows just how close the two tracks were.

Northern Lights peek out in Eastern Washington

Northern Lights peek out in Eastern Washington
Northern Lights shine over Keller, Wash. on May 17, 2013. (Photo: Rocky Rabell)

As we mentioned in the blog Thursday, there's a particularly active sunspot on the sun right now.

It had, as its opening salvo while starting to face the Earth, unleashed a moderately strong solar flare that reached us late Friday, triggering a display of the Northern Lights that reached as far south as Colorado.

Northern Lights to be visible around the Pacific Northwest soon?

Northern Lights to be visible around the Pacific Northwest soon?
NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory captured this image of the X1.2 class solar flare on Tuesday May 14, 2013. (AP Photo/NASA)

The sun has been getting quite active lately, with one sun spot in particular giving off several explosive flares this week, and it could eventually bring some brilliant displays of the Northern Lights to the Pacific Northwest.

Since Monday, Sunspot AR1748 has already given off four "X-class" solar flares -- X being the most powerful class of flares that have potential to disrupt radio and satellite signals. In fact, that flare has given off more X-class flares than every other sunspot of the past year combined, according to spaceweather.com.

Up to this point, the spot has been on a part of the sun not directly facing Earth, so the flares have been directed away from our planet and not really giving us much of an effect.

'Ice wave' attacks homes in Minnesota

'Ice wave' attacks homes in Minnesota

You've probably seen video of flash floods before, but for these homeowners in Minnesota, it was a little different this weekend: A "flood" of ice.

A woman on Minnesota's Mille Lacs Lake snapped this video of what some are calling an "ice out tsunami."

"Just sounded like shattering glass," Darla Johnson told WCCO-TV. "It was pushing and breaking and pushing and breaking."

Mother Nature's mantra for Seattle weather: All or nothing

Mother Nature's mantra for Seattle weather: All or nothing

SEATTLE-- Missing: Middle ground. Last seen several months ago. Description: Temperatures of medium build, 60-65 degrees, with clouds that weigh about 2-3 days' worth of rain a week.

Once again, Seattle is locked into a weather pattern that features either a stretch of cool, wet weather or a period of warm, dry weather, with nary a mixture of the two in between.

Friday's sunshine with temperatures rising well into the 70s, if not low 80s in some spots, is extending an all-time record spanning almost 120 years of Seattle history: The first 10 days of May are going to finish warmer than 65 degrees with zero rain in the rain gauge.* The old record for both zero rain to start a month and have all days 65 degrees highs or warmer was eight.